The Fivecoat Consulting Group

View Original

Invasion of Ukraine, July 2023 SITREP (#272)

Happy Fourth of July. Today, July 4, 2023, is D+493 in the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. This is the 35th in my series on blog posts on the war — see all the war in Ukraine blog posts here. For those of you who have been following TFCG’s posts on Ukraine, I post once a month at the beginning of each month on the war. Today’s post updates the crowd sourced Battle Damage Assessment for the month of June 2023 and provides a.

Only one takeaway today — the war of attrition in Ukraine continues.

Yesterday, the Oryx Website reported that Russia has lost 2,080 tanks (80 since the last blog post — less than what Russia lost in May) since the war began.

Here is another historic perspective on tank losses. From June 6, 1944 through May 15, 1945 (343 Days) the United States lost ~7,000 (including ~4,347 M4 Sherman Tanks) tanks in the European Theater of Operations (think D-Day to the end of the war in northern Europe). That’s an average of 20.5 tanks per day. The Russians lost 2.2 tanks per day in Ukraine in the last 34 days and 4.2 tanks per day since the war began.

Total Russian BDA (As of July 3, 2023 at 15:00 EDT) From the Oryx Website (Captures total losses from February 24, 2022 onwards)

Key vehicles lost include:

  • 2,080x T-62/72/80/90s Tanks Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (80 ⬆️ — all change numbers since May 29, 2023)

    • Average of 4.2x tanks damaged, destroyed, abandoned and captured per day since the invasion started

  • 3,013x BMPs/BTRs/BMDs (Armored Personnel Carriers) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (112 ⬆️ )

    • Average of 6.1x BMPs/BTRs damaged, destroyed, abandoned and captured per day since the invasion started

  • 316x Engineer Vehicles Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (10 ⬆️ )

  • 898x Indirect Fire Systems (Mortars, Howitzers, and Multiple Rocket Launcher Systems) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (120 ⬆️ )

  • 162x Air Defense Weapon Systems Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (7 ⬆️ )

  • 618x MT-LBs (Command and Control) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (27 ⬆️)

Ukrainian BDA (As of July 3, 2023 at 1500 EDT From the Oryx Website)

So far, Ukrainian forces have lost:

  • 557x T-64/72/80 Tanks Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (⬆️ 51 since 29 MAY)

    • Average of 1.1x tanks damaged, destroyed, abandoned and captured per day since the invasion started

  • 961x BMP/BTR/BMD (Armored Personnel Carriers) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (⬆️ 81)

  • 346x Indirect Fire Systems (Howitzers and MRLS) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (⬆️ 16)

  • 87x MT-LB ACRV (Command and Control) Destroyed, Captured, or Abandoned (No Change)

For More Information on the Conflict:

Ukraine SITREP, June 2023

Ukraine SITREP, May 2023

Ukraine SITREP, April 2023

Ukraine SITREP, March 2023

BTGs, OoB, and Crowd Sourced BDA in Ukraine, D+11

Conclusion

Want even more? Reach out to me me here for a virtual talk to your group or company on the Invasion of Ukraine and its tactical and strategic implications.

Interested in having a Leadership Experience that uses history and its leadership examples, like General Eisenhower at D-Day, to enhance your team’s leadership today? TFCG offers the D-Day, Market-Garden, and Battle of the Bulge Leadership Experiences in Europe and the War in the Pacific Museum and Pearl Harbor Leadership Experiences in the United States. Send me an email and we can start the discussion today about building better leaders in your organization using a historic Leadership Experience.

In the meantime, use your deeper awareness of the invasion of Ukraine to go on the offensive and follow the conflict with better insight.